Eagles vs Cowboys Predictions, Odds & Spread Picks

Game Overview and Betting Odds

Eagles vs Cowboys Predictions, Odds, NFL Spread Picks

The Eagles (8-2) and Cowboys (4-5-1) meet today in NFL Week 12. Kickoff is set for 4:25 p.m. ET from AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. Eagles vs Cowboys will broadcast live on FOX.

The Eagles are 3-point spread favorites over the Cowboys (Eagles -3; -105); the game total is 47.5 points. The Eagles are -160 moneyline favorites and the Cowboys are +135 underdogs.

Let's get into the Eagles vs Cowboys prediction.

Eagles vs Cowboys Predictions, Picks

Eagles vs Cowboys pick: Cowboys +3.5 (-115)

My Cowboys vs Eagles best bet is on Dallas to cover the spread.

Eagles vs Cowboys Odds, Lines

Eagles Odds
Spread	Over/Under	Moneyline
-3 -105	47.5 -110o / -110u	-160

Cowboys Odds
Spread	Over/Under	Moneyline
+3 -115	47.5 -110o / -110u	+135

Odds are via a major sportsbook and reflect the market at the time of writing.

Eagles vs Cowboys Preview, Prediction

First, let’s talk about the Eagles offense.

At this point, the expectation is that they are not going to figure it out; two straight weeks, coming off their bye, and there has been nothing good.

This whole season, the Eagles haven't been able to build a margin against anyone. They have eight wins, and seven of them have come by one possession. They are 7-1 in one-possession games.

The Eagles defense is trending up. They are getting some players back healthy and they added linebacker Jaelan Phillips, which is important.

However, the Dallas defense is also trending up.

The Cowboys faced the Raiders last week, but they project to be better against the run, and with their trade-deadline acquisitions, it makes sense.

Dallas added defensive tackle Quinnen Williams in the middle of that defensive line and should be more stout against the run — though the back end is still going to be leaky for Dallas.

This is still a flawed Cowboys defense, but they are going to play a ton of zone coverage — and that's what you want to do against Jalen Hurts and this lackluster Eagles passing attack.

Hurts has been significantly worse against zone coverage this year. And now starting center Cam Jurgens is banged up, and they won't have right tackle Lane Johnson, which might prevent them from using some of their jumbo packages that unlocked some potential for this offense.

Johnson is vital to the Eagles offense.

According to Evan Abrams, Philadelphia is 96-41-1 straight up (SU) when Johnson starts and 12-23 SU when he doesn’t over the last decade. And since 2013, including the playoffs, Philadelphia is 120-62-1 SU when Johnson plays and 15-24 SU when he doesn’t.

The Eagles have done some nice things with those looks, but Johnson is also arguably the best right tackle in the NFL.

The Cowboys can get pressure. They are going to be better against the run. They play zone on the back end. On the other side, the Eagles defense is nasty, but this is an elite Cowboys offense at home, and the expectation is that they will put up points in this spot.

The Cowboys are on a short week, but this is the third game in 13 days for the Eagles after hard-fought wins against the Packers and Lions, which helps balance that situational angle.

Since 2018, the Cowboys have faced the Eagles on short rest three times. They are 3-0 SU and against the spread (ATS) in those games.

This season, two teams have faced the Eagles on short rest – the Broncos and Giants – and they went 2-0 SU and ATS against them.

Dallas had a bye before the Monday night game, and it was a relatively easy win without exerting much energy.

Eagles vs Cowboys Spread Analysis

Eagles vs Cowboys Predictions, Spread Analysis

Dallas can score enough points to keep this game close.

The most likely outcome is the Eagles winning by a field goal and running out the clock with a long drive late, which would still cash this bet at +3.5.

The projected spread for this game is under +3, and anything at +3.5 or better is worth taking, even if it requires laying -120 juice.

Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott has been excellent against division rivals. He is 31-13 against the spread, covering 70.5% of the time by an average margin of seven points per game.

This is a decent matchup for the Cowboys defense in its current form since it can stop the run much more effectively.

The Eagles defense is good and only getting better, but the Cowboys offense should keep them in this game at home, given the weapons at their disposal and how well Prescott is playing right now.

In the end, Philadelphia's offense is difficult to trust to win by margin. The value lies with the Cowboys +3.5.

Pick: Cowboys +3.5 (-115)

Eagles vs Cowboys Betting Trends

Since 2018, the Cowboys are undefeated straight up and against the spread when facing the Eagles on short rest, and opponents on short rest this season are 2-0 SU and ATS against Philadelphia.