The Ultimate Guide to NFL Betting

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Cowboys vs Lions Thursday Night Football Picks, Odds & Props
December 5th, 202514 mins

Cowboys vs Lions Thursday Night Football Picks, Odds & Props

Cowboys vs Lions Game Overview

The Dallas Cowboys (6-5-1) and Detroit Lions (7-5) open NFL Week 14 tonight on Thursday Night Football. Kickoff is set for in 8:15 p.m. ET from Ford Field in Detroit, Mich. The game will broadcast live on Amazon Prime Video.

The Lions are favored by 3.5 points on the spread (Lions -3.5; +100), with the over/under set at 55.5 (-105o / -115u). The Lions are -175 moneyline favorites; the Cowboys are +145 underdogs.

Let's get into Cowboys vs Lions predictions for Thursday Night Football, which includes picks for the over/under and two props.

Cowboys vs Lions Predictions and Picks

Cowboys vs Lions pick: Under 55.5 (-110).

The best bet is on the total under 55.5.

Cowboys vs Lions Odds

Cowboys Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+3.5 -12055.5 -105o / -115u+145
Lions Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-3.5 +10055.5 -105o / -115u-175

Odds are via a major sportsbook, with up-to-the-minute NFL odds available on their main odds page.

Thursday Night Football Preview and Prediction

When the Cowboys Have the Ball

The Cowboys offense continues to play at a high level and helped lead them to a 31-28 win over the Chiefs in a must-win game on Thanksgiving. It was the second straight game in which Dak Prescott threw for 300+ yards as he is taking advantage of having the best wide receiver duo in the NFL right now with CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens.

The Lions secondary would have seen a huge boost if free safety Kerby Joseph were able to return from his knee injury, which has kept him sidelined since Week 6. He practiced Monday, but he has already been ruled out for tonight’s game, meaning his next possible chance to return is Week 15.

Brian Branch (toe) is listed questionable with a toe injury that he has played through for a few weeks now. He should be expected to play, but if he is ruled out, that would be a massive injury that would likely move the spread down to Cowboys +2.5, and the total could go up 0.5-1 points.

The Cowboys' run game has been solid this year — with Javonte Williams being a pleasant surprise — but they have desperately needed a backup to step up after Miles Sanders’ season-ending toe injury, and with rookie Jaydon Blue being a healthy scratch most weeks.

Malik Davis stepped up in a big way (3/47/1) against the Chiefs. The Cowboys might consider giving him a bit more work going forward to keep Williams fresh and possibly boost efficiency even more.

However, this is a tougher matchup against the Lions’ run defense, led by linebacker Jack Campbell, which ranks seventh in DVOA against the run.

The expectation is that the Cowboys will lean pass-heavy in this matchup, and left tackle Tyler Guyton is out again for this game, meaning Nate Carter will fill in again.

Carter has struggled mightily, allowing pressure on Prescott's blindside, and he was also a liability in the run game last week. There could be a few plays tonight where having a backup left tackle slows the Cowboys offense on key snaps.

Referee Shawn Hochuli’s tendencies could also be a factor in slowing down the Cowboys at key times.

When the Lions Have the Ball

The Lions’ offensive line has been a serious concern over the last few weeks. They have struggled to protect Jared Goff, who was under pressure on 47% of his dropbacks last week, the third-highest rate in Week 13.

It was against the Packers’ pass rush, but the Lions' line has also dealt with injuries, with left guard Christian Mahogany on injured reserve, and Taylor Decker, Kayode Awosika, Graham Glasgow and Penei Sewell all questionable tonight. Everyone could suit up, but if one or two of them are ruled out, especially Sewell, that would be a massive blow.

Frank Ragnow was reportedly attempting to return from retirement, but he failed his physical because of a grade-3 hamstring tear. It was notable that he thought he could return that quickly while dealing with an injury that clearly needed immediate medical attention.

Regardless, the line could be an issue again tonight against a Cowboys defense that has been much improved since adding Quinnen Williams before the trade deadline.

The Cowboys have also upgraded at linebacker, adding Logan Wilson from the Bengals and getting DeMarvion Overshown back from injury. Kenneth Murray Jr. had been struggling this season, so getting much-needed upgrades at linebacker has helped the Cowboys defense.

The Lions’ skill positions are also dealing with uncertainties.

Amon-Ra St. Brown is listed as questionable with a low ankle sprain that knocked him out early in the Thanksgiving game. He has not practiced yet this week, and the team is waiting as long as possible to rule him out.

If this were a Sunday game, that would increase his likelihood to return and play, but on a short week, his status is much tougher to project. He could be closer to doubtful.

Sam LaPorta remains on injured reserve. Backup tight end Brock Wright and third wide receiver and punt returner Kalif Raymond are also out again.

The Lions could be missing a significant number of key offensive players and the current version of the Cowboys defense is much better than their season-long metrics would indicate.

Cowboys vs Lions Best Bet: Total Under 55.5

A previous bet on the first-half under 27.5 for the Cowboys-Chiefs game did not hit last week, but nearly everything went wrong for the first quarter and a half, and it still almost stayed under before a long 43-yard touchdown run with three minutes left in the half sealed it. If the Cowboys had not scored that touchdown and settled for a field goal, it would have stayed under 27.5.

The sun-related angle at AT&T Stadium factored in a couple times — most notably on a potential big play that George Pickens missed and clearly blamed on the sun being in his eyes. That helped slow down each offense at times. Even if a few key factors work in favor of an under, it does not guarantee a game will actually stay under the total.

Both teams played in games that went over in record-setting national TV games on Thanksgiving, including the Chiefs-Cowboys game, which was the most-watched regular-season NFL game ever. The market is expecting a ton of points; the projection also expects plenty of scoring.

The total has reached 54.5, nearly the highest number seen these days. The projection for the total is closer to 53, which shows slight value on the under, but many of the key factors laid out above could help this game sneak under the total.

The officiating crew could play a sneaky part. This game will be officiated by Shawn Hochuli, who is the most profitable under referee since 2021, with the under hitting at a 46-28 (61%) clip in his games for a significant positive return.

Not every trend is treated like gospel — many trends scream louder than their sample size deserves, and most are waiting to regress back toward the average. That said, the 2025 result of 7-5 to the under (58%) still qualifies as a strong signal.

Hochuli's crew has consistently called false starts at a top-five rate nearly every season. This year, they are doing it more than ever, currently averaging 3.3 per game.

The Cowboys, especially in road games with crowd noise, are often the team most impacted by that particular penalty. The Lions' offensive line has been excellent at limiting false starts, but if one or two of their starters are ruled out tonight, it could disrupt their cadence enough for Hochuli’s crew, which has been strict enforcing pre-snap penalties, to call a few more than usual.

The same idea applies to offensive holding calls, another drive-killing penalty, where Hochuli’s games have generally been above average in holding call rates. The Cowboys have committed offensive holding at the fourth-highest rate this year. If Detroit is down a couple offensive line starters, it could create more holding and pre-snap issues than usual.

A couple of extra false start or holding calls do not guarantee the game stays under 54.5, but historically, those are the flags worth monitoring and those are the kinds of small cracks that could slow things down just enough to give the under a shot considering that Hochuli games have gone under at a high rate over the last few years.

The Cowboys' and Lions' red-zone touchdown percentage allowed both rank bottom six on the season. Red-zone touchdown percentage tends to bounce around and often regresses toward the league average over time, so either defense allowing fewer red-zone touchdowns than their current rate is likely going forward.

The total might still soar over 54.5, but there are enough small factors that could tighten things just a bit. If a bettor is holding an over 54.5 ticket, nearly everything needs to go perfectly.

The market is likely going to continue to bet heavily on the over, so this is a game where it can make sense to wait and see if it gets bet up to 55-55.5, as there are not many key numbers in this range and 55 is one of them.

Pick: Under 55.5.

Cowboys vs Lions Player Props

Javonte Williams Under 16.5 Rush Attempts (-121)

Williams has been a pleasant surprise for the Cowboys this season, handling a massive workload for most of the year without a true backup the team could trust.

Last week, Malik Davis posted a solid 3/47/1 line, which makes it possible Dallas uses him more on early downs to keep Williams fresh. This is also a matchup against a pass-funnel Lions defense; the expectation is that the Cowboys will lean on their pass game more, especially with Prescott, Pickens and Lamb all playing at a high level.

Dallas also likes mixing in non-running backs for an occasional rush, so players like Lamb, Hunter Luepke and KaVontae Turpin could quietly chip away at Williams' chances. Turpin had three designed rushes last week, and the team has been dialing up more work for him in the run game in general, which adds another path to lost volume for Williams.

With Turpin and Davis possibly eating into the early down share opportunities, plus the likelihood of more pass-leaning play calls, Williams is projected closer to 15.7 rushing attempts, with about a 60% chance to stay under 16.5.

Every rush attempt in these markets matters a great deal, and Hochuli's staff potentially calling more false starts and holding penalties could negatively impact Williams as well.

The most likely outcome is 15 rushing attempts about 10% of the time. Getting under 16.5 before this drops to 15.5 is considered a key edge. At 15.5, it would be closer to a coin flip.

Amik Robertson Over 3.5 Tackles + Assists (-131)

Amik Robertson has cleared 3.5 tackles plus assists in three games this season, but he was not a full-time player until Week 5. Since becoming a regular, he has only had one plus matchup, Week 6 against the Bengals, where he logged six tackles.

Robertson's schedule since then has been difficult for a cornerback, but he gets a strong spot tonight against the Cowboys, who have supplied, by far, the most tackle opportunities for opposing corners, which makes sense given how much volume funnels through Pickens and Lamb.

The Lions use man coverage at the second-highest rate in the league and Robertson is expected to have plenty of tackle chances on Pickens and Lamb catches. Detroit is also expected to face more completions than its season-long average, giving Robertson even more chances to get to the ball.

This is considered a strong spot. Simulations project Robertson finishing over 3.5 about 70% of the time, with fair odds closer to 4.5 tackles at around -130, suggesting the line of 3.5 is about one full tackle off.

Cowboys vs Lions Viewing Information

Location: Ford Field in Detroit, Mich.

Date: Thursday, Dec. 4.

Time: 8:15 p.m. ET.

TV and streaming options: Prime Video.

Additional Notes

For the latest on NFL injuries, bettors can consult a dedicated injury report page.

Weather information is also available on specialized NFL weather pages to help inform betting decisions.

Betr Picks promo code CBSSPORTS: $210 in bonus credits for Cowboys vs. Lions
December 5th, 20253 mins

Betr Picks promo code CBSSPORTS: $210 in bonus credits for Cowboys vs. Lions

Betr Picks promo code CBSSPORTS offer details

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Best Betr Picks for December 4

(Projections from the SportsLine model unless otherwise noted)

WR CeeDee Lamb, Cowboys, 77.5 receiving yards - More

Lamb had 89 receiving yards when he faced Detroit last season, but that was nothing compared to when he saw the Lions in 2023. He went off for a career high of 227 yards across 13 grabs, while the four-time Pro Bowler had 112 yards on Thanksgiving versus Kansas City last week. With Detroit starting CB, Terrion Arnold, just placed on IR, Lamb should have another big game versus the Lions.

RB Javonte Williams, Cowboys, 61.5 rushing yards - More

The veteran has gone over 61.5 rushing yards in eight of 12 games this season, as he's averaging 79.6 rushing yards on the season. Meanwhile, Detroit's run defense has been pierced as of late. The Lions have allowed 122-plus rushing yards in each of their last three games after giving up 94.3 yards over their first nine games.

QB Jared Goff, Lions, 251.5 passing yards - More

Goff has had at least 256 passing yards in five straight games, and all of those pass defenses were better than the one he'll see on Thursday. The Cowboys rank 30th in pass defense, also ranking 30th in adjusted yards per attempt allowed, while ranking dead last in passing touchdowns given up.

The SportsLine Projection model also offers picks for every NFL picks for every game on the slate, which you can use to help guide you in making NFL picks on Betr Picks.

NFL Thanksgiving Week 13 Betting Trends and Odds Breakdown
November 30th, 202512 mins

NFL Thanksgiving Week 13 Betting Trends and Odds Breakdown

Thanksgiving NFL betting overview

Turkey, stuffing, pumpkin pie … complaining kids … bickering relatives.

Thanksgiving truly is a tradition like no other. Thankfully, that tradition also includes a delicious distraction: wall-to-wall NFL action — both on the field and at the wagering window.

With the holiday in mind, we’re dishing out a feast of Turkey Day-related NFL betting trends amid our breakdown of this year’s Thanksgiving weekend matchups, capped off by a Black Friday battle between NFC division leaders.

All listed odds are via BetMGM and subject to change.

Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions (-2.5, 48.5)

Kickoff: Thursday, 1 p.m. ET

Money line: Packers +125/Lions -150

With the exception of a five-year stretch during World War II, the Lions have hosted a Thanksgiving Day game every year since 1934.

They’re 38-44-2 all-time on the holiday, with last year’s 23-20 victory over Chicago snapping a seven-game Turkey Day losing skid.

However, Detroit failed to cover as a hefty 9.5-point favorite against the Bears, falling to 3-5 ATS in its last eight Thanksgiving contests (0-2 ATS as a favorite).

Green Bay is 15-18-2 when playing on Thanksgiving, including 14-17-2 on the road.

Most recently, the Packers defeated Miami 30-17 in last year’s prime-time Thanksgiving contest, easily covering as 3.5-point favorites.

Green Bay has faced the Lions on Thanksgiving seven times this century, going 5-2 SU and 4-3 ATS.

Overall, though, Detroit is on a 6-2 SU and 5-3 ATS roll in this NFC North rivalry dating to Week 18 of the 2021 season.

The Lions needed overtime to fend off the New York Giants in Week 12, prevailing 34-27 in a game that featured 1,011 yards of offense.

Detroit never threatened to cover as a 14-point home favorite, ending a lengthy (and impressive) NFL betting trend: The Lions, who were coming off a Week 11 loss at Philadelphia, had covered in 13 consecutive games following a defeat.

Instead, Detroit has now failed to cash in back-to-back games for the first time since an 0-3 ATS slide that started exactly a year ago (Weeks 13-15).

Green Bay is coming off consecutive victories over the Giants (27-20) and Vikings (23-6).

By easily cashing as a 6.5-point favorite against Minnesota on Sunday, the Packers halted a three-game spread-covering slump.

Still, Green Bay remains just 2-7 ATS in its last nine overall, and 1-4 ATS away from Lambeau Field this year (but 3-1-1 SU).

The over cashed in eight of 11 Thanksgiving games at Ford Field from 2010-2020. However, since 2021, the under is 3-1.

During this 15-year stretch, the Lions and their Thanksgiving opponents have cleared 48 points nine times — but just twice since 2021.

Then again, Detroit and Green Bay have topped 50 points in seven of their last 11 head-to-head clashes (including four of five in the Motor City).

Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5, 52) at Dallas Cowboys

Kickoff: Thursday, 4:25 p.m. ET

Money line: Chiefs -190/Cowboys +155

With the exception of 1975 and 1977, the Cowboys have hosted a Thanksgiving Day game every season for the last 60 years, going 34-22-1.

Dallas is currently riding a three-game Thanksgiving winning streak (2-1 ATS). In the previous dozen years, though, the Cowboys played like a turkey, going 4-8 on the field and 2-10 at the betting counter.

Meanwhile, the Chiefs have played on Thanksgiving just 10 times in franchise history and only once in the last 30 years: In 2006, they defeated Denver 19-10 as one-point home favorites in the first-ever Thanksgiving night contest.

This marks just the second time since 2011 that Dallas will be an underdog on Thanksgiving. The only other instance was in 2017, when the Chargers traveled to Arlington, Texas, and won 28-6 as one-point favorites.

Going back to 1998, the Cowboys are 1-5 SU and 3-3 ATS as a Turkey Day ’dog.

Dallas erased a 21-0 deficit in Week 12 and stunned Philadelphia 24-21 as a 3-point underdog, matching the biggest comeback in franchise history.

The Cowboys, who were coming off a 33-16 rout of the Raiders, have won consecutive games for the first time all season. The last time Dallas won as many as three in a row: a five-game winning streak from Weeks 10-14 of 2023.

The Cowboys went 4-1 ATS during that stretch, cashing in three straight contests from Weeks 10-12. That stands as the team’s most recent 3-0 ATS run.

Kansas City also rallied for a Week 12 win, climbing out of a 20-9 fourth-quarter hole against Indianapolis and eking out a 23-20 overtime victory.

The triumph followed back-to-back upset losses at Buffalo (28-21) and Denver (22-19). However, the Chiefs came up short as 4.5-point favorites against the Colts, their third straight non-cover.

Including a season-opening game against the Chargers in Brazil, Kansas City is 1-4 SU and ATS away from home in 2025 — all as a favorite.

A totals-related NFL betting trend that bears mentioning: The under has cashed in each of Kansas City’s last six games, with all six falling short of 50 points.

The Chiefs haven’t had a 7-0 “under” stretch since Weeks 7-13 of the 2011 season — two years before head coach Andy Reid arrived and seven years before Patrick Mahomes took over as the team’s starting quarterback.

Then again, all five of Dallas’ Thanksgiving games this decade have cleared the total. Combined points scored: 57, 69, 48, 55 and 47.

Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens (-7, 52)

Kickoff: Thursday, 8 p.m. ET

Money line: Bengals +280/Ravens -350

The NFL added a new holiday tradition in 2006 when it introduced a third game to its Thanksgiving menu and slotted it in prime time.

With the exception of 2020, the Thanksgiving night contest has been played every year since and resulted in this related (and eye-popping) NFL betting trend:

Favorites are 15-3 SU and 14-4 ATS, including eight consecutive wins and covers.

Additionally, 12 of the 18 prime-time Thanksgiving games have stayed under the total, including eight of the last 10.

Cincinnati’s only Thanksgiving appearance was in 2010, when it lost 26-10 to the Jets as a 9.5-point underdog.

The Ravens have played twice on Turkey Day, and both occasions were at home in prime time. They topped San Francisco 16-6 as a 3.5-point favorite in 2011, then defeated archrival Pittsburgh 22-20 as a 3-point favorite two years later.

The latter contest is the only time in 18 Thanksgiving night battles that the winner failed to cover the point spread.

Baltimore ran its winning streak to five in a row with Sunday’s 23-10 rout of the Jets. However, the Ravens came up just short as 14-point favorites, ending a 3-0 ATS uptick.

Meanwhile, the Bengals have dropped four in a row, the latest being a 26-20 home loss to New England in Week 12. Since starting the season with back-to-back wins over Cleveland and Jacksonville, Cincy has lost eight of nine.

The Bengals did cover as 7.5-point underdogs against the Patriots, but remain just 4-7 ATS for the season (3-5 ATS as an underdog).

From 2022-2024, the Ravens went 11-2 SU and 9-4 ATS in prime-time games. However, they’re 1-2 SU and ATS under the national spotlight this season.

Cincinnati has split its eight prime-time games both SU and ATS since the start of last year, going 1-1 SU and ATS this season.

The Ravens have won four in a row in this AFC North rivalry (3-1 ATS). Going back to the second meeting of the 2018 campaign, Baltimore is 10-3 against Cincinnati on the scoreboard but has cashed just six times.

During this 13-game stretch, the Bengals lost six of seven in Baltimore, but they’re 5-2 ATS.

Baltimore’s first five games this season jumped the closing total, but the under is 4-2 in its last six. Also, the under is 3-1-1 in Cincinnati’s road games.

On the flip side of the NFL betting trends ledger, the over is 4-2 in games played at M&T Bank Stadium in 2025. What’s more, the over is 7-2 in the last nine Bengals-Ravens battles, with the last five in a row hurdling the total.

Final scores of the last four meetings: 27-24, 34-20, 41-38 and 35-34.

Chicago Bears at Philadelphia Eagles (-7, 44.5)

Kickoff: Friday, 8:20 p.m. ET

Money line: Bears +260/Eagles -325

The NFL’s most recent addition to the Thanksgiving weekend docket was the advent of a “Black Friday” game two years ago.

The Dolphins won the inaugural contest in 2023, blasting the Jets 34-13 as 9.5-point road favorites.

Last year, the Chiefs edged the Raiders 19-17 but never came close to cashing as 13.5-point home favorites.

Chicago has assumed sole possession of first place in the NFC North thanks to an 8-1 heater that includes an ongoing four-game winning streak.

The Bears won those four games by a combined 14 points, with the most recent nail-biter being Sunday’s 31-28 home victory over Pittsburgh as 2.5-point favorites.

Throw in back-to-back 25-24 road wins over the Raiders and Commanders, and six of Chicago’s eight victories have been by a total of 16 points.

From an NFL betting trends perspective, the Bears have been bullish during their 8-1 SU roll, going 7-2 ATS (including 4-1 ATS on the road).

Chicago also has been money as an underdog, posting 4-1 SU and ATS mark since an ugly 52-21 loss at Detroit in Week 2.

The Eagles went to Dallas in Week 12 as 3-point favorites and scored three touchdowns in the game’s first 18.5 minutes. However, they got outscored 24-0 from there, with the final points coming on a 42-yard field goal as time expired.

The loss snapped Philly’s four-game SU and ATS winning streak.

It was the third straight time — and fifth time in the last seven games — that the Eagles offense tallied 21 points or less.

On the bright side for the Eagles, they’re 4-1 at home this season (3-2 ATS). The only on-field blemish was a 21-17 Week 5 loss to Denver.

Philadelphia also has defeated the Bears five straight times since 2013, going 4-1 ATS.

The Eagles have followed 5-1 “over” stretch with a 3-0 “under” run.

Conversely, Chicago has eclipsed the closing total in four of its six road games. Also, eight of the Bears’ 11 contests have featured at least 45 combined points (and another landed on 44).

See More Football News

The NFL is arguably the most popular league in the United States thanks to its massive fanbase and intense games. Whether you are a new fan or a seasoned punter, this guide is for you to make the most of your wagers that will give you a good run for your money. Of course, watching your favorite teams and players make a dash to the opposing side or try to tackle opposing players is fun. But you can spice up the excitement in every single game when you take note of our NFL betting strategy that will help you rack up amazing wins!

NFL wallpaper image

Why Should You Consider NFL Betting?

Football is surprisingly popular in the United States, and it opens up a lot of avenues for punters to enjoy watching games by having bigger stakes with a chance to win prizes! The NFL offers a lot of promising games that will get you to the edge of your seat, and you would not want to miss a chance to join the hype! NFL betting offers high stakes for those who are willing to take a risk. If you get lucky, you might just make the winning wagers and wrap up your Sunday or Thursday with a lot of winnings in your account. This is what makes NFL betting exciting and fun for fans and punters alike.

Don’t have ideas for good bets to make? Fret not, our comprehensive betting guide will help you get to all the latest strategies, tips and tricks that will help you enjoy placing wagers in the hottest NFL games on schedule.

Understanding NFL Betting Markets

Betting on the NFL is pretty much the same as any other sports with the same markets. The only difference is that these are all quite easier to predict, especially if you follow the respective teams that you want to wager on. Here are the markets you should understand when going for football betting games:

 

Point Spreads

It is important to consider the point spread for every game that you would bet on. This determines the winning margin for a team to win a given matchup. This helps punters gauge the final scores of the team that they would want to wager on.

For starters, a team that has a minus (-) sign next to the number of points is the favorite to win. On the other hand, the team with the plus (+) sign next to the points is the underdog and is expected to be the losing team in the game. The goal here is to bet on the margin of victory by the team you want to wager on.

When betting on point spreads, it is important to note that previous games are put into consideration, as well as records playing at home and on the road. These are used to gauge the performance of a respective team, meaning that standings, the last five games, and many other factors play into consideration.

 

Moneylines

Moneylines are considered a popular betting market in the NFL thanks to its unpredictability. But this is more of straight up betting on the winning team, and there is no need to determine the winning margin like in point spread.

It is easy to mistake this for a point spread, but all you need to do to make the most of your chances is to wager on which team you think has the best chance of winning. However, it is worth noting that betting on the underdog sometimes yields better prizes with bigger payouts.

The NFL is an unpredictable sport, and it means that there are instances when even the favorite team would not come out on top and will instead lose or even blow leads by the end of the game. Avoiding favorites in straight wagers is one of the good bet ideas you can try here.

 

Game Totals

Game totals is a fun market to try if you are keen on making guesses in game endings. The goal in betting in totals is to wager a set number by the sportsbook that covers the total scores from both teams.

This is tricky in other sports, but in the NFL, higher or lower is easy to predict. All you have to do is to guess if the game total goes over or under a given number. You can bet over if you think that the game showcases a free-flowing offense between two teams and is likely to generate big points.

On the other hand, scoring under means that there are a lot of tight defensive performances from both teams, meaning that there wouldn’t be a high-scoring affair, and the game is more likely to go down the wire.

Advanced Betting Strategies

Now that you are familiar with the most common markets in the NFL, it is time to dig deeper and find out more about the other betting strategies that can help you score big winnings in the long run. Betting on parlays, teasers, props, and futures can help you rack up winnings if you plan it right. With our detailed guide on these betting strategies, you can make the most of your wagers so you can be sure that you don’t end up empty-handed.

Who won rookie of the year NFL image

Here are some advanced betting strategies that you should consider:

 

Parlays

Parlays are quite fun to pull off and are often rewarding thanks to huge payouts. This is done by combining two or more outcomes, and the catch is that all of your predictions need to win for the wager to be won.

This is considered to be high-stakes betting as you need multiple scenarios in a given game day before the parlay is won. For example, you wagered on five games, but if you only won four, it will not count towards the final payout as you need all five games to be won.

Therefore, it is smart to keep these wagers to just a small number instead of going for a large size. Betting on at least three games that you are so sure of the result can give you a good winning chance in this bet.

 

Teasers

Teasers are considered an advanced level of the point spread where a collection of straight bets are combined and each line has been altered to your favor by the points of the teaser. Depending on the number of games wagered on, it is possible to win with a safer bet.

For this market, you can adjust the point spread to make it a much safer bet in your favor. There are three numbers in teasers – which are 6, 6.5, and 7 point teasers. Each will deduct points from the spread to make it closer for you to easily wager on.

However, the catch is that you cannot bet on a single teaser. There should be at least two or more teaser bets parlayed together. This makes it more riskier but also rewarding and has a higher chance of being a win since the spread has been adjusted.

 

Props

Prop bets are a big twist in betting on the NFL. These are bets that are answerable by “yes” or “no”. These range from the total yards gained, touchdowns scored in a quarter, kicks, number of sacks in the second half, first TD scorer tonight, and so on.

These propositions are relative to a certain team or player’s performance. Props can also be in the form of over/under as well. A single game usually offers dozens of props from oddsmakers, which means plenty of opportunities to win.

 

Futures

Long-term betting on the NFL is also applicable. Most of the time, you can bet on the game ahead of time, but there are also other markets to consider, such as final standings, individual awards, and championships.

Most of these will translate by the end of the season. Aside from the Most Valuable Player, you may also consider placing wagers on Coach of the Year, Defensive Player of the Year, Offensive Rookie of the Year, and many more.

On top of that, you can outright bet on a team to win the Super Bowl, the NFC and AFC Championship, or which would come out on top of their respective conferences. These are long-shot wagers, but will yield bigger rewards if you make the right wager.

How to Bet on the NFL?

Now that you have a grasp on all the wagers that you can use in betting on the NFL, it is time to learn how you can place actual bets in a given game. From picking a wager, using odds comparison tools and gauging your chances, this is how you get started:

  1. Select a betting site from the recommended list to avoid mishaps
  2. Pick a game to wager on.
  3. Check the available betting markets and select a market.
  4. Review the odds and compare it to different betting sites before finalizing your pick.
  5. Place a wager amount that meets the minimum or maximum bet.
  6. Double check your wagers and remember to use bonuses and promotions to your bet.

NFL Betting Tips to Consider

It is easy to bet on the NFL, but there is a risk of losing big-time if you are not careful. This is why it is a must to consider taking a short read on our tips and tricks that can help you make the most out of your wagers. Here are some betting tips that you should keep in mind when you place wagers on the NFL:

 

Always Check the Previous Game

NFL teams play once a week, and occasionally twice depending on their schedule. This means that a long interval is observed between games, and the previous games play a huge role on their winning chances in the next game.

For example, a team that won in their previous game is more likely to win depending on their performance. A losing team, on the other hand, is expected to drop that game, especially if they are in a losing streak.

 

Make Sure to Check the Injury Report

A team that is missing its top star is not the same team that played a week ago. Always keep in mind that the NFL is a very physical sport, and it means that there are certain games where the top players would miss out a game due to an injury, illness, or personal reasons.

This has a lot of impact on any given game – especially in prime time showdowns and rivalry matchups. It is important to see if the team will field its best star or will come up with a replacement to cover their squad.

 

Try to Target Underdogs Based On Team Records

Not all underdogs are the worst team in the league. A game between the top two teams in the NFL will still have a team named as underdogs even though they have identical records. This means that underdogs have a huge chance to win even if they are not favorites depending on the playing teams.

On top of that, it is worth noting that the NFL is full of surprises and is highly praised for its unpredictability, especially in the Playoffs. The league history has already shown that it is possible for wild card teams to pull off upsets, which just shows how likely it is for underdogs to win and for bettors to yield bigger wins.

 

Check the Head-to-Head Stats

When it comes to NFL games, it is best to always check the previous games between the two playing teams. Regardless of the winning streak or the last matches, the head-to-head stats will show how a team performs against a certain squad.

The points scored, number of sacks, total touchdowns, yards gained, and many other stats will play a huge role as to how the game will shape up. It also determines how the coaches and teams will adjust their game plan and come up with ways to defeat the opposing side.

 

Consider Undervalued Picks in Futures Betting

Futures betting is a risky but rewarding market to look out for. The odds shift from time to time as the season progresses, and it would be different than how it began in the offseason. It is also worth noting that the odds would be different from the start and when the season ends.

Hedging is a way to prevent losses in the long run, especially if your bet ends up on the losing side in the middle of the season. It means you will be betting on another pick to win, which should make up for your initial wager.

Gaining Ground on the Game: Analyzing Picks and Previews

Most of the time, the NFL itself provides stats and insights based on the schedule. These NFL game previews allow you to come up with further bet analysis and make an informed decision based on the deductions of NFL analysts. On top of that, most betting sites also offer a brief insight on the game itself, which you can use to your advantage. Game previews usually discuss the head-to-head stats, players to look out for, and their predictions for the said match. They even give hints on who they think will be the first touchdown scorer tonight, which should help punters make a winning bet if they get it right.

Is the NFL scripted image

Betting analysis is also important to consider, especially in high-stakes games such as rivalry showdowns and key matches of the day. Most of the time, analysts discuss the ability of a team to deploy a pick 6 – a play where the defensive players come up with an interception and score six points for a touchdown. Many punters should have an idea of pick 6 meaning in football as it is a commonly used play to disorient the opposing squad into thinking that they are attempting to sack the quarterback. The goal, however, is for the defenders to turn the interception into a touchdown – thus it is called pick 6.

Betting on Thursday Night Football

There are 17 weeks of NFL action, and Thursday Night Football often showcases the best showdowns between select leading teams in the league. Depending on the schedule, most of the playing teams will feature intense showdowns with rivalry history or have the top record, and these are the best Thursday Night Football bets to consider. Finding the best bets for Thursday Night Football is not that hard. Most betting sites usually update their odds on a weekly basis, and the NFL releases the schedule before the season begins, which means you can bet as soon as the game list drops. It is also wise to check out the Thursday Night Football point spread as it would determine multiple winning chances for your bets.

There are usually highlighted players for the day, and some games even have the best prop bets for Thursday Night Football, especially a game between two top teams in the league. For example, a top team contender is expected to score more than their average points in a game, which will be the prop bet that you will likely see in most sportsbooks. Others include predicting statlines of a single player, and so on.

Betting on Sunday Night Football

Nothing beats the hype of starting your week right with Sunday Night Football! Compared to TNF picks, Sunday Night Football bets allow you to see the best competitors on the big stage. This usually packs the top-seeded teams in the league or star-studded clubs taking on each other. Sunday Night Football has been a staple in betting over the years, and it is easy to say that you can enjoy the best of the best in every single SNF game. That says a lot about the traction that it gets in the United States as it leads the NFL in terms of viewership and fan following.

When betting on Sunday Night Football, it is important to note that prime-time matchups are hyped and are more likely to affect the odds between playing teams. For instance, a game between two contender squads can have a thin point spread compared to other games, which makes it rewarding to wager on underdogs. On top of that, SNF games are known well for being a shocker among many teams in the NFL. Most upsets and heroic performances can be witnessed in the Sunday Night Football slate, which makes it more rewarding to place wagers and win big compared to the TNF best bets that you can make.

High-Stakes Betting: The Super Bowl

The Super Bowl is considered to be the most popular grand final stage for any sporting event aside from the World Cup. All of the games from other sports leagues in the United States take place earlier to ensure that there would be no conflicts in broadcast scheduling. Aside from putting the champions of the AFC and the NFC in one neutral venue, the Super Bowl is well known for its halftime show and commercials, which strike up the viewership of the league’s finale.

The Super Bowl and its halftime show has become a cultural factor in United States sports. Over the years, the viewership ratings have increased, with the playing teams also having a role in its popularity. On top of that, it has also become a part of the betting frenzy in the Super Bowl. Many people clamor for Super Bowl betting tips, but like any other game, the NFL championship game is hard to predict as this brings the best teams in the league together. Most of the time, the odds for this game usually has a thin line in the point spread and is expected to go down the wire.

There are only a few games in the Super Bowl where it ended up in lopsided scoring. Most of the games are decided by just three or four points, making it a fun and rewarding experience for punters who can make the right bets.

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Make the Most of Your NFL Betting Experience

Betting on the NFL is as rewarding as it can get, and learning a few tips and tricks can help you elevate your chances of winning, especially in high-stakes games such as the Super Bowl. Get started on placing wagers and win handsome prizes like no other when you wager today!

FAQ

What does fade mean in betting?

To fade in betting means to back up a losing team in a given game. It is considered a risky move but can be rewarding if done right.

What does pick 6 mean in football?

Pick 6 is the act of a defensive player intercepting a pass from an opposing player, usually a quarterback, and then scoring a touchdown, which leads to six points earned by the team.

What is a 3 way money line?

Betting on two of the three available results in a given game is called 1x2 or a 3-way moneyline. This means betting on two possible game results out of three, which are win, loss, or tie for a given team.

Whats on bet tonight?

The Super Bowl LVIII is on the table tonight as the current NFL season comes to an end. The San Francisco 49ers are the favorites to win against the defending champion Kansas City Chiefs. The game will take place this Sunday, February 11, 2024 at the Allegiant Stadium in Nevada.

Author
Author: Paul Daniel Flores
Updated: 5 months ago
Author: Paul Daniel Flores
Writer l Sports and Esports Expert
Updated: 5 months ago

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