Saturday NFL Prop Betting Overview

NFL Week 18 gets going with the Carolina Panthers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Saturday afternoon, followed by the Seattle Seahawks and San Francisco 49ers in the nightcap.

Tonight, Bucs linebacker SirVocea Dennis and Panthers wide receiver Jalen Coker are key focuses in the prop market for Panthers vs. Buccaneers. The following sections outline over/under prop bets for both Dennis and Coker.

SirVocea Dennis Tackles + Assists Prop

Saturday, Jan 3

4:30 p.m. ET

ABC/ESPN

SirVocea Dennis Over 6.5 Tackles + Assists (+126)

SirVocea Dennis mixes in on a ton of run plays as he’s recorded a tackle on 17.3% of opponent rush attempts this season.

So he should specifically get a boost with Tampa Bay expected to face around 3.6 more rush attempts in this game.

He may be a bit of a liability in pass coverage, so teams tend to pick on him there as well, but that gives him a very high floor in this spot.

Obviously, there is value on his over at 5.5 tackles and assists at -149 odds, which would be the safer route to extend an existing win streak of 12 straight bets.

However, the more aggressive angle is to take his alternate over of 7+ tackles at +126, with projections indicating he clears this around 57% of the time.

Pick: SirVocea Dennis Over 6.5 Tackles + Assists (+126)

Jalen Coker Receiving Yards Prop

Saturday, Jan 3

4:30 p.m. ET

ABC/ESPN

Jalen Coker Under 36.5 Receiving Yards (-112)

Tampa Bay has generated the third-highest pressure rate, and Panthers wide receiver Jalen Coker has seen his target rate drop from 18% when Bryce Young has a clean pocket to just 10% when he’s under pressure.

Buccaneers safety Jamel Dean is out for this game, which improves Tetairoa McMillan’s matchup and could funnel more targets in McMillan’s direction.

There has also been an increase in playing time for WR4 Jimmy Horn Jr., coming at the expense of Xavier Legette, and Horn has been commanding a higher target rate than Legette. That mini-emergence could further chip away at Coker’s usage.

This is something to monitor any time Horn is targeted during the game.

On top of that, Coker is due for some catch percentage regression as he has hauled in 75% of his targets, which is 13.3% higher than his expected catch rate.

All of this leads to a slightly lower projection on Coker, with a median closer to 31 receiving yards and around a 59% chance to stay under 36.5.