The ATP Finals has finally arrived! There are big battles coming in on the Turin stage as players seek to score a massive victory to cap off the year with a promising slam! This year’s edition is full of new names, and it is expected that the competition is definitely heating up. But who will come out on top for this year’s edition with the hopes of cementing their grand place in the annals of the ATP Tour?
What’s at Stake in the ATP Finals?
The season-ending championship of every ATP Tour season has been fun to watch, and it features the top eight players in the standings based on their results from the season. Think of it as the equivalent of the various leagues’ playoffs such as the NBA, MLS, MLB, NHL, and the NFL. It is the clash of the best players in the league, and it cannot be denied that this is more exciting than the four big majors that many fans are accustomed to look out for from time to time.
As of the time of writing, the tournament’s current format features a hefty set of prizes for players who are playing at a high level. For instance, the champion can be awarded a max of 1,500 ranking points – provided that they can win the event with an undefeated run in the round-robin stage. While these aren’t as much as the points that one can gain from the Grand Slams, in a close season, those points can be the difference between finishing the year at No. 1 or in the top 10.
The ATP Finals is seen as one of the special titles that a player can win in a calendar year, along with the Olympic gold medal. Due to its prestige, it is even seen as the “fifth Grand Slam” along with the high caliber of competition that it offers to fans. The ATP Finals is a prestigious tournament where everything is at stake—career milestones, financial rewards, and the potential for a historic legacy – all in the big engaging tournament.
Who is the Defending Champion?
Novak Djokovic is the defending champion of the ATP Finals. However, the 2023 winner has opted to skip this year’s swashbuckling competition after revealing that he had an injury. The Serbian star did not play in the final Masters 1000 tournament in the Rolex Paris Masters as well and now ends his 2024 year without a single win in any ATP Tour competition – save for the Olympic triumph he had.
Despite skipping the Paris Masters, no other player was able to overtake his spot in the top six. Last year, Djokovic made history in the ATP Finals as the player to receive the highest payout in the ATP Tour, winning a record $4,740,300 in the tournament. It is worth noting that Novak Djokovic is the winningest player in the ATP Finals, scoring his first in 2008 before winning from 2012 to 2015, and 2022 to 2023.
With Djokovic opting out in this year’s tournament, it does seem that the stage is wide open, and a new champion will soon be named.
The Top Picks for the ATP Finals 2024
The ATP Finals is more intense than most people think, and there are a lot of players who are keen to leave their mark on the big stage. The ATP Finals can play a decisive role in determining the year-end No. 1 ranking, especially in closely contested seasons. With the rankings still quite close than most people think – although Sinner’s spot may be far from contention – the ATP Finals provide the needed points to settle the final rankings of the season.
Here’s the top picks to win in the ATP Finals 2024:
Jannik Sinner (+125)
Jannik Sinner skipped out on the Rolex Paris Masters, but that’s because he’s already scored the needed points to keep his no. 1 spot out of reach from the likes of Alcaraz and Zverev after winning the Shanghai Masters, where he defeated Novak Djokovic. Still, it cannot be denied that the Italian star is expected to come up with an impressive pace in his games, and there are a lot of talks as to how he can actually be on his way to score a much-needed win to cap off this year with a bang.
Carlos Alcaraz (+200)
The odds are quite confusing with the way they put Carlos Alcaraz as the second favorite to win in this competition. The star lost in the Round of 16 in the Rolex Paris Masters at the hands of Ugo Humbert, and the previous Shanghai Masters in the quarterfinal to Tomas Machac. It has been an up-and-down season for Alcaraz, but no one can deny that he has really emerged with his impressive games after coming up with two victories in the majors. Set to make his debut in the ATP Finals, expect Alcaraz to make some noise on the big stage.
Alexander Zverev (+650)
Alexander Zverev is reasonably a high favorite for his success in the recent Rolex Paris Masters, where he punctuated a promising finish in the final, beating Humbert in straight sets. At this point, the stage isn’t new to Zverev. In fact, he’s actually seeking his third ATP Finals win after scoring his first two in 2018 and 2021. The German star is going to be all eyes for many fans now more than ever, and one can expect that this will be a landmark year for him as well if he manages to pull off a win now more than ever.
Daniil Medvedev (+900)
On the chase for his second title at Turin, Daniil Medvedev is really coming into the competition with a promising look as to how he can come up with a massive run to the top of the league. Considering how he has managed to shine with a 45-19 record, Medvedev is really showing that he has what it takes to come up with a much-needed rise to the occasion, and hopefully bring that same groove when he enters the ATP Finals stage and eagerly seeking a chance to seal his year with a massive victory.
Taylor Fritz (+1600)
US Open finalist Taylor Fritz enters as one of two non-European players to join in on the ATP Finals. His biggest run of the year has been the US Open, and he definitely brought the American crowd with him for most of that competition. However, Fritz now enters the contest in Turin with hostile crowds waiting for him. At this point, one can say that this is the big break that the American star is looking for, and it would definitely do him a lot of favor in setting the tone for his next season.
Honorable Mentions
Andrey Rublev (+2000) is slated to make his fifth straight appearance on the grounds of Turin this year, hoping to finally seal his first win and improve upon his best run of 2022 where he reached the semis. Alex de Minaur (+2000) is also slated to make his season finale debut and will bring the Australian support on the big stage now more than ever.
Casper Ruud (+4000), despite being the no. 7 in the Race to Turin, is set as the underdog for the rest of the tournament. It is worth noting that the 2022 finalist is expected to come up with some impressive strides, but who knows, maybe he can pull off a shocker.
Who Shall Reign Supreme in the Grand Stage of the ATP Finals?
The ATP Finals is so much more than a tennis tournament. It's where legends are born, where rivalries intensify, and where careers are defined. It’s the culmination of a year’s worth of sweat, blood, and determination, all wrapped up in a week of high-stakes action. Whether it’s the prize money, the ranking points, the quest for legacy, or the personal drive to finish the season strong, everything is on the line in this season-ending showdown.
So when the best players in the world step onto the court, remember that what’s at stake is not just a trophy, but the opportunity to make their mark on the history of the sport. That’s why the ATP Finals is the tournament tennis fans look forward to the most. The stakes couldn’t be higher, and the drama is always unforgettable.
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