Overview of the Polymarket Airstrike Bets

Traders Bet on the U.S.’s Next Airstrike Target

Polymarket offers prediction-market contracts on whether the U.S. will strike Cuba, Colombia or Somalia

Context: U.S. Incursion in Venezuela

Smoke billows over Caracas after explosions from the U.S. incursion that led to the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. Jose Abreu/@Jabreu89 / X/Agence France-Presse/Getty Images

By Jack Pitcher and Alexander Osipovich

Jan. 7, 2026 10:00 pm ET

Traders Focus on President Trump’s Next Target

Prediction-market gamblers are looking for President Trump’s next target.

After a mystery trader won more than $400,000 with a timely wager that Nicolás Maduro would soon be out as Venezuela’s leader, Polymarket, a popular crypto-based betting market, added fresh contracts that let users bet on whether the U.S. will soon strike Colombia or Cuba, too.